I-World Steel Association (Worldsteel) eseBrussels ikhiphe umbono wayo wesikhathi esifushane sango-2021 no-2022. I-Worldsteel ibikezela ukuthi isidingo sensimbi sizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-5.8 ngo-2021 ukuze sifinyelele cishe amathani ayizigidigidi ezingu-1.88.
Umkhiqizo wensimbi wehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, isidingo sensimbi sizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 ukuze sifinyelele cishe amathani ayizigidigidi ezingu-1.925.
Isibikezelo samanje, kusho i-Worldsteel, sicabanga ukuthi “amagagasi esibili noma esithathu aqhubekayo okutheleleka [kwe-COVID-19] azosimama kwikota yesibili nokuthi kuzokwenziwa intuthuko eqhubekayo ekugonyweni, okuvumela ukubuyela kancane kancane esimweni esijwayelekile emazweni amakhulu asebenzisa insimbi.”
“Naphezu komthelela omubi walolu bhubhane empilweni nasezindleleni zokuphila, imboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke ibe nenhlanhla yokuqeda u-2020 ngokuncipha okuncane kwesidingo sensimbi,” kusho uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomidi Lezomnotho Le-Worldsteel.
Ikomidi lithi kusekhona “ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kulo lonke u-2021,” lithi ukuvela kwegciwane kanye nentuthuko yokugoma, ukuhoxiswa kwezinqubomgomo zezimali nezemali ezisekelayo, ezepolitiki kanye nokungezwani kwezohwebo konke kungathinta ukululama okuchazwe esibikezelweni salo.
Emazweni athuthukile, “Ngemva kokuwa okukhulu kwemisebenzi yezomnotho kwikota yesibili ka-2020, imboni ngokuvamile yanda ngokushesha kwikota yesithathu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yezinyathelo ezinkulu zokukhuthaza ezezimali kanye nokukhululwa kwesidingo esivaliwe,” kubhala uWorldsteel.
Nokho, inhlangano iphawula ukuthi amazinga omsebenzi ahlala engaphansi kwezinga langaphambi kobhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yalokho, isidingo sensimbi somhlaba othuthukile saqopha ukwehla ngamaphesenti angu-12.7 ngo-2020.
Kubikezela i-Worldsteel, "Sizobona ukululama okukhulu ngo-2021 nango-2022, ngokukhula ngamaphesenti angu-8.2 kanye namaphesenti angu-4.2, ngokulandelana. Kodwa-ke, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022 sizobe sisafinyelela amazinga ka-2019."
Naphezu kwamazinga aphezulu okutheleleka, umnotho wase-United States ukwazile ukubuya ngamandla kusukela engxenyeni yokuqala ngenxa yenzuzo enkulu yezimali eyayisekela ukusetshenziswa. Lokhu kwasiza ekukhiqizweni kwezimpahla ezihlala isikhathi eside, kodwa isidingo sensimbi sase-US sehle ngamaphesenti ayi-18 ngo-2020.
Uhulumeni kaBiden umemezele isiphakamiso sezimali esingu-$2 trillion esiqukethe imibandela yokutshalwa kwezimali okukhulu kwengqalasizinda esikhathini seminyaka eminingi. Lolu hlelo luzoxoxisana neCongress.
Cishe noma yiluphi uhlelo oluzolandela luzoba nethuba elihle lokufunwa kwensimbi. Kodwa-ke, naphezu kwalokhu kanye nentuthuko esheshayo ekugonyweni, ukubuyiselwa kwesidingo sensimbi kuzovinjelwa esikhathini esifushane ngenxa yokwehla okubuthakathaka emikhakheni yokwakha kanye neyamandla okungezona ezokuhlala. Umkhakha wezimoto kulindeleke ukuthi ululame kakhulu.
E-European Union, imikhakha esebenzisa insimbi yahlupheka kakhulu ngenxa yezinyathelo zokuqala zokuvalwa ngo-2020 kodwa yabhekana nokubuyela emuva okunamandla kunalokho obekulindelwe emisebenzini yokukhiqiza ngemuva kokuvalwa ngenxa yezinyathelo zikahulumeni ezisekelayo kanye nesidingo esivalekile, kusho i-Worldsteel.
Ngakho-ke, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2020 emazweni angu-27 e-EU kanye nase-United Kingdom saphela ngokuncipha okungcono kunangokulindelekile ngamaphesenti angu-11.4.
“Ukusimama ngo-2021 nango-2022 kulindeleke ukuthi kube nempilo enhle, kuqhutshwa ukusimama kuzo zonke izinhlaka ezisebenzisa insimbi, ikakhulukazi imboni yezimoto kanye nezinhlelo zokwakha umphakathi,” kusho uWorldsteel. Kuze kube manje, amandla okusimama kwe-EU awaphazanyiswa ukukhuphuka okuqhubekayo kwe-COVID-19, kodwa isimo sezempilo sezwekazi “sisalokhu sibuthakathaka,” kusho inhlangano.
I-Turkey ethwala i-arc furnace kagesi (EAF) ethwala izinto ezingafuneki “yabhekana nokuncipha okukhulu ngo-2019 ngenxa yenkinga yemali yango-2018, [kodwa] yagcina umfutho wokululama owaqala ngasekupheleni kuka-2019 ngenxa yemisebenzi yokwakha,” kusho i-Worldsteel. Umfutho wokululama lapho uzoqhubeka, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi isidingo sensimbi sibuyele ezingeni lenkinga yemali yangaphambi kokuphela ngo-2022, kusho leli qembu.
Umnotho waseNingizimu Korea, esinye isizwe esingenisa izinto ezilahliwe kwamanye amazwe, uphunyuke ekuncipheni okukhulu komkhiqizo wasekhaya ngenxa yokuphathwa kangcono kwalolu bhubhane, futhi wabona umfutho omuhle ekutshalweni kwezimali kwezikhungo kanye nokwakhiwa.
Noma kunjalo, isidingo sensimbi sehle ngamaphesenti angu-8 ngo-2020 ngenxa yokuncipha kwemikhakha yezimoto kanye neyokwakha imikhumbi. Ngo-2021-22, le mikhakha emibili izohola ukululama, okuzosekelwa kakhulu amandla aqhubekayo ekutshalweni kwezimali kwezikhungo kanye nezinhlelo zikahulumeni zengqalasizinda. Noma kunjalo, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022 akulindelekile ukuthi sibuyele ezingeni langaphambi kobhubhane.
I-India ihlupheke kakhulu ngenxa yesikhathi eside sokuvalelwa phansi okunzima, okwamisa imisebenzi eminingi yezimboni kanye neyokwakha. Kodwa-ke, umnotho ubulokhu ululama kakhulu kusukela ngo-Agasti, (ngokushesha kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe, kusho i-Worldsteel), ngokuqaliswa kabusha kwamaphrojekthi kahulumeni kanye nesidingo sokusetshenziswa esinciphile.
Isidingo sensimbi saseNdiya sehle ngamaphesenti angu-13.7 ngo-2020 kodwa kulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-19.8 ukuze sidlule izinga lika-2019 ngo-2021, okungenzeka ukuthi kunikeze izindaba ezinhle kubathumeli bezinsimbi zensimbi abathumela kwamanye amazwe. Uhlelo lukahulumeni olugxile ekukhuleni luzothuthukisa isidingo sensimbi saseNdiya, kuyilapho utshalomali oluzimele luzothatha isikhathi eside ukululama.
Umnotho waseJapan uphinde wabhekana nobunzima obukhulu ngenxa yobhubhane ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemisebenzi ebanzi yezomnotho kanye nokuzethemba okubuthakathaka okwengeze umphumela wokwenyuka kwentela yokusetshenziswa ngo-Okthoba 2019. Njengoba ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kwehla kakhulu, isidingo sensimbi sehle ngamaphesenti angu-16.8 ngo-2020. Ukubuyiselwa kwesidingo sensimbi saseJapan kuzoba okulinganiselwe, okubangelwa ukubuya kabusha emkhakheni wezimoto ngokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kanye nemishini yezimboni ngenxa yokubuyiselwa kwezindleko zemali emhlabeni jikelele, ngokusho kwe-Worldsteel.
Esifundeni se-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), ukuphazamiseka kwamaphrojekthi okwakha kuthinte imakethe yensimbi ekhula ngokushesha, kanti isidingo sensimbi sehle ngamaphesenti ayi-11.9 ngo-2020.
IMalaysia (engenisa izinto eziningi ezilahliwe ezivela e-US) kanye nePhilippines yizona ezithinteke kakhulu, kanti iVietnam ne-Indonesia zibone ukwehla okuncane kwesidingo sensimbi. Ukuvuselelwa kuzoqhutshwa ukuqaliswa kabusha kancane kancane kwemisebenzi yokwakha kanye nezokuvakasha, okuzosheshisa ngo-2022.
EShayina, umkhakha wezokwakha ululame ngokushesha kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2020 kuqhubeke, usekelwa ukutshalwa kwezimali kwengqalasizinda. Ngo-2021 kuya phambili, ukukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali kwezindlu kungase kwehle ngenxa yesiqondiso sikahulumeni sokunciphisa ukukhula kulowo mkhakha.
Ukutshalwa kwezimali kumaphrojekthi engqalasizinda ngo-2020 kubikwe ukukhula okuphansi ngamaphesenti angu-0.9. Kodwa-ke, njengoba uhulumeni waseShayina eqalise amaphrojekthi amasha amaningana ukusekela umnotho, ukukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali engqalasizinda kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngo-2021 futhi kuqhubeke nokuthinta isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022.
Emkhakheni wokukhiqiza, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kuye kwasimama kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2020. Kuwo wonke u-2020, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 kuphela. Eminye imikhakha yokukhiqiza ibonise ukukhula ngenxa yesidingo esinamandla sokuthumela kwamanye amazwe.
Sekukonke eShayina, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi okubonakalayo kukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-9.1 ngo-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuthi izinyathelo zokukhuthaza ezethulwe ngo-2020 zizohlala zikhona ukuqinisekisa ukukhula okunengqondo okuqhubekayo emnothweni. Ngenxa yalokho, imikhakha eminingi esebenzisa insimbi izobonisa ukuthi iphakathi nendawo. I-World Steel Association (Worldsteel) eseBrussels ikhiphe umbono wayo wesikhathi esifushane ka-2021 no-2022. I-Worldsteel ibikezela ukuthi isidingo sensimbi sizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-5.8 ngo-2021 sifinyelele cishe amathani ayizigidigidi ezingu-1.88.
Umkhiqizo wensimbi wehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, isidingo sensimbi sizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 ukuze sifinyelele cishe amathani ayizigidigidi ezingu-1.925.
Isibikezelo samanje, kusho i-Worldsteel, sicabanga ukuthi “amagagasi esibili noma esithathu aqhubekayo okutheleleka [kwe-COVID-19] azosimama kwikota yesibili nokuthi kuzokwenziwa intuthuko eqhubekayo ekugonyweni, okuvumela ukubuyela kancane kancane esimweni esijwayelekile emazweni amakhulu asebenzisa insimbi.”
“Naphezu komthelela omubi walolu bhubhane empilweni nasezindleleni zokuphila, imboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke ibe nenhlanhla yokuqeda u-2020 ngokuncipha okuncane kwesidingo sensimbi,” kusho uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomidi Lezomnotho Le-Worldsteel.
Ikomidi lithi kusekhona “ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kulo lonke u-2021,” lithi ukuvela kwegciwane kanye nentuthuko yokugoma, ukuhoxiswa kwezinqubomgomo zezimali nezemali ezisekelayo, ezepolitiki kanye nokungezwani kwezohwebo konke kungathinta ukululama okuchazwe esibikezelweni salo.
Emazweni athuthukile, “Ngemva kokuwa okukhulu kwemisebenzi yezomnotho kwikota yesibili ka-2020, imboni ngokuvamile yanda ngokushesha kwikota yesithathu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yezinyathelo ezinkulu zokukhuthaza ezezimali kanye nokukhululwa kwesidingo esivaliwe,” kubhala uWorldsteel.
Nokho, inhlangano iphawula ukuthi amazinga omsebenzi ahlala engaphansi kwezinga langaphambi kobhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yalokho, isidingo sensimbi somhlaba othuthukile saqopha ukwehla ngamaphesenti angu-12.7 ngo-2020.
Kubikezela i-Worldsteel, "Sizobona ukululama okukhulu ngo-2021 nango-2022, ngokukhula ngamaphesenti angu-8.2 kanye namaphesenti angu-4.2, ngokulandelana. Kodwa-ke, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022 sizobe sisafinyelela amazinga ka-2019."
uhulumeni uqalise amaphrojekthi amasha amaningana ukusekela umnotho, ukukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali kwengqalasizinda kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngo-2021 futhi kuqhubeke nokuthinta isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022.
Emkhakheni wokukhiqiza, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kuye kwasimama kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2020. Kuwo wonke u-2020, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 kuphela. Eminye imikhakha yokukhiqiza ibonise ukukhula ngenxa yesidingo esinamandla sokuthumela kwamanye amazwe.
Sekukonke eShayina, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi okusobala kukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-9.1 ngo-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuthi izinyathelo zokukhuthaza ezethulwe ngo-2020 zizohlala zikhona ukuqinisekisa ukukhula okunengqondo okuqhubekayo emnothweni. Ngenxa yalokho, imikhakha eminingi esebenzisa insimbi izobonisa ukukhula okumaphakathi kanti isidingo sensimbi saseShayina kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule ngamaphesenti amathathu ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kwesidingo sensimbi "kuzoncipha kuye kumaphesenti njengoba umphumela wokukhuthaza ngo-2020 uncipha, futhi uhulumeni ugxile ekukhuleni okusimeme," ngokusho kweWorldsteel.
ukukhula kanye nesidingo sensimbi saseShayina kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule ngamaphesenti ama-3 ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kwesidingo sensimbi “kuzoncipha kuye kumaphesenti njengoba umphumela wesikhuthazo sika-2020 uncipha, futhi uhulumeni ugxile ekukhuleni okusimeme,” ngokusho kwe-Worldsteel.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Septhemba-28-2021