I-World Steel Association (Worldsteel) eseBrussels ikhiphe umbono wayo webanga elifushane lika-2021 kanye no-2022. Izibikezelo ze-Worldsteel zensimbi zizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-5.8 ngo-2021 ukuze zifinyelele cishe amathani ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.88.
Ukukhishwa kwensimbi kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, isidingo sensimbi sizokhula okwengeziwe ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 ukuze sifinyelele cishe amathani ama-metric ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.925.
Isibikezelo samanje, kusho i-Worldsteel, sithatha "amagagasi esibili noma esithathu aqhubekayo okutheleleka kwe- [COVID-19] azozinza kwikota yesibili nokuthi kuzokwenziwa inqubekelaphambili eqhubekayo ekugomeni, okuzovumela ukuthi kancane kancane kubuyele esimweni esijwayelekile emazweni amakhulu asebenzisa insimbi. .”
"Naphezu komthelela omubi walolu bhubhane ezimpilweni nasezimpilweni, imboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke yaba nenhlanhla yokuqeda unyaka ka-2020 ngokuncibilika okuncane kwesidingo sensimbi," kuphawula uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomidi Lezomnotho LeWorldsteel.
Ikomidi lithi kusekhona "ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kuze kube unyaka ka-2021," lithi ukuvela kwaleli gciwane kanye nenqubekelaphambili yokugoma, ukuhoxiswa kwezinqubomgomo ezesekayo zezimali nezezimali, i-geopolitics kanye nokungezwani kwezohwebo konke kungathinta ukululama okuvezwe esibikezelweni salo.
Emazweni athuthukile, “Ngemva kokuwohloka ngokukhululeka kwemisebenzi yezomnotho engxenyeni yesibili ka-2020, izimboni ngokuvamile zakhula ngokushesha engxenyeni yesithathu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yezinyathelo ezinkulu zokuvuselela isimo sezimali kanye nokudalulwa kwesidingo esiphansi,” kubhala i-Worldsteel.
Inhlangano iyaqaphela, nokho, ukuthi amazinga omsebenzi ahlala engaphansi kwezinga langaphambi kobhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yalokho, isidingo sensimbi somhlaba othuthukile siqophe ukwehla ngamaphesenti angu-12.7 ngo-2020.
Predicts Worldsteel, “Sizobona ukululama okukhulu ngo-2021 no-2022, nokukhula ngamaphesenti angu-8.2 namaphesenti angu-4.2, ngokulandelana.Kodwa-ke, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022 sisazokweqa emazingeni ka-2019. "
Naphezu kwamazinga aphezulu okutheleleka, umnotho wase-United States ukwazile ukuphindeka ngamandla kusukela ekubongeni kwegagasi lokuqala ngokwengxenye kuya ekukhuthazeni okukhulu kwezimali okusekela ukusetshenziswa.Lokhu kusize ukukhiqizwa kwezimpahla ezihlala isikhathi eside, kepha isidingo sensimbi saseMelika sisonke sehle ngamaphesenti ayi-18 ngo-2020.
Abaphathi beBiden bamemezele isiphakamiso sezimali esingama- $ 2 trillion esiqukethe izinhlinzeko zokutshalwa kwezimali kwengqalasizinda enkulu esikhathini esiyiminyaka eminingi.Uhlelo luzoba ngaphansi kwezingxoxo kuCongress.
Cishe noma yiliphi icebo eliwumphumela lizoba namandla angaphezulu kwesidingo sensimbi.Kodwa-ke, naphezu kwalokhu kanye nenqubekelaphambili esheshayo ekugomeni, ukutholakala kwesidingo sensimbi kuzovinjelwa esikhathini esifushane ukuphindaphinda okubuthakathaka emikhakheni yezokwakha okungezona ezokuhlala kanye nezamandla.Umkhakha wezimoto kulindeleke ukuthi ululame kakhulu.
E-European Union, imikhakha esebenzisa insimbi yahlupheka kakhulu ngezinyathelo zokuqala zokuvala izikhala ngo-2020 kodwa yathola ukuphindaphindeka okunamandla kunalokho obekulindelwe emisebenzini yokukhiqiza ngenxa yezinyathelo zikahulumeni ezisekelayo kanye nesidingo se-pent-up, kusho iWorldsteel.
Ngakho-ke, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2020 emazweni angama-27 e-EU nase-United Kingdom saphela ngokuncipha okungcono kunalokhu obekulindelwe ngamaphesenti ayi-11.4.
"Ukusimama ngo-2021 no-2022 kulindeleke ukuthi kube nempilo, kuqhutshwa ukululama kuyo yonke imikhakha esetshenziswa insimbi, ikakhulukazi umkhakha wezimoto kanye nezinhlelo zokwakha zomphakathi," kusho i-Worldsteel.Kuze kube manje, umfutho wokululama we-EU awukakaphazanyiswa ukwanda okuqhubekayo kwe-COVID-19, kodwa isimo sezempilo sezwekazi “silokhu sintekenteke,” kunezela inhlangano.
I-Scrap-importing electric arc furnace (EAF) mill-heavy mill-Turkey "yathinteka kakhulu ngo-2019 ngenxa yenkinga yemali yango-2018, [kodwa] yagcina umfutho wokuthola kabusha owaqala ngasekupheleni kuka-2019 ngenxa yemisebenzi yokwakha," kusho i-Worldsteel.Umfutho wokuthola kabusha uzoqhubeka, futhi isidingo sensimbi kulindeleke ukuthi sibuyele ezingeni lenkinga ye-precurrency ngo-2022, kusho iqembu.
Umnotho waseNingizimu Korea, okungelinye izwe elingenisa izimpahla kwamanye amazwe, uphunyule ekwehleni okukhulu komkhiqizo wasekhaya ngenxa yokuphathwa kangcono kwalolu bhubhane, futhi wabona umfutho omuhle ekutshalweni kwezimali nokwakhiwa kwezakhiwo.
Noma kunjalo, isidingo sensimbi sehle ngamaphesenti angu-8 ngo-2020 ngenxa yokuncipha emkhakheni wezimoto nowokwakha imikhumbi.Ngo-2021-22, le mikhakha yomibili izohola ekubuyiseleni kabusha, okuzophinde kusekelwe amandla aqhubekayo otshalomali lwezikhungo kanye nezinhlelo zikahulumeni zengqalasizinda.Noma kunjalo, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022 akulindelekile ukuthi sibuyele ezingeni langaphambi kobhubhane.
I-India yahlupheka kakhulu ngenxa yesikhathi eside sokuvalwa okuqinile, okumise imisebenzi eminingi yezimboni neyokwakha.Kodwa-ke, umnotho ubulokhu usimama kakhulu kusukela ngo-Agasti, (ubukhali kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe, kusho i-Worldsteel), ngokuqala kabusha kwemiklamo kahulumeni kanye nesidingo esiphuthumayo sokusebenzisa.
Isidingo sensimbi saseNdiya sehle ngamaphesenti angu-13.7 ngo-2020 kodwa kulindeleke ukuthi siphinde sikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-19.8 ukuze sidlule izinga lango-2019 ngo-2021, okungenzeka sinikeze izindaba ezinhle kubathumeli bezimpahla ezisansimbi.I-ajenda kahulumeni egxile ekukhuleni izonyusa isidingo sensimbi saseNdiya, kanti utshalomali oluzimele luzothatha isikhathi eside ukululama.
Umnotho waseJapan nawo uhlaselwe kakhulu yilolu bhubhane ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemisebenzi yezomnotho ebanzi kanye nokuzethemba okubuthakathaka okungezelele emphumeleni wokwenyuka kwentela ka-Okthoba 2019.Ngokuwa okugqame kakhulu ekukhiqizweni kwezimoto, isidingo sensimbi sehle ngamaphesenti ayi-16.8 ngo-2020. Ukusimama kwesidingo sensimbi sase-Japan kuzoba okumaphakathi, okuqhutshwa ukuphindaphindeka komkhakha wezimoto nokubuyisela kabusha ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe nemishini yezimboni ngenxa yokusimama komhlaba wonke ekusetshenzisweni kwemali. , ngokusho kweWorldsteel.
Esifundeni se-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), ukuphazamiseka kumaphrojekthi wokwakha kuhlasele imakethe yensimbi ekhula ngokushesha, kanye nokufunwa kwensimbi kwehle ngamaphesenti ayi-11.9 ngo-2020.
I-Malaysia (engenisa amanani abalulekile e-scrap evela e-US) kanye ne-Philippines yizona ezishayeke kakhulu, kuyilapho i-Vietnam ne-Indonesia yabona ukwehla okulinganiselwe kwesidingo sensimbi.Ukubuyisela kabusha kuzoqhutshwa ukuqaliswa kabusha kancane kancane kwemisebenzi yokwakha nezokuvakasha, okuzosheshisa ngo-2022.
E-China, umkhakha wezokwakha ube nokusimama ngokushesha kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2020 kuya phambili, usekelwa utshalomali lwengqalasizinda.Kusukela ngo-2021 kuya phambili, ukukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali kwezakhiwo kungase kwehle ngokulandela isiqondiso sikahulumeni sokunciphisa ukukhula kulowo mkhakha.
Ukutshalwa kwezimali kumaphrojekthi wengqalasizinda ngo-2020 kubike ukukhula okuqinile ngamaphesenti angama-0.9.Kodwa-ke, njengoba uhulumeni waseChina eqale inqwaba yemiklamo emisha yokuxhasa umnotho, ukukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali kwingqalasizinda kulindeleke ukuthi kuqale ngo-2021 futhi kuqhubeke nokuba nomthelela ekudingeni kwensimbi ngo-2022.
Emkhakheni wokukhiqiza, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kuye kwalulama kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2020. Kuwo wonke u-2020, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 kuphela.Eminye imikhakha yezokukhiqiza ikhombise ukukhula ngenxa yesidingo esinamandla sokuthumela ngaphandle.
Sekukonke eShayina, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi okusobala kukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angama-9.1 ngonyaka wezi-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuthi izindlela zokukhuthaza ezethulwe ngo-2020 zihlale zikhona ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukukhula komnotho okuqhubekayo.Ngenxa yalokhu, imikhakha eminingi edla insimbi izokhombisa okusesilinganisweniI-World Steel Association (Worldsteel) eseBrussels ikhiphe umbono wayo webanga elifushane lika-2021 no-2022. Izibikezelo ze-Worldsteel zensimbi zizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-5.8 ngo-2021 ukuze zifinyelele cishe kuma-metric ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.88 amathani.
Ukukhishwa kwensimbi kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, isidingo sensimbi sizokhula okwengeziwe ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 ukuze sifinyelele cishe amathani ama-metric ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.925.
Isibikezelo samanje, kusho i-Worldsteel, sithatha "amagagasi esibili noma esithathu aqhubekayo okutheleleka kwe- [COVID-19] azozinza kwikota yesibili nokuthi kuzokwenziwa inqubekelaphambili eqhubekayo ekugomeni, okuzovumela ukuthi kancane kancane kubuyele esimweni esijwayelekile emazweni amakhulu asebenzisa insimbi. .”
"Naphezu komthelela omubi walolu bhubhane ezimpilweni nasezimpilweni, imboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke yaba nenhlanhla yokuqeda unyaka ka-2020 ngokuncibilika okuncane kwesidingo sensimbi," kuphawula uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomidi Lezomnotho LeWorldsteel.
Ikomidi lithi kusekhona "ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kuze kube unyaka ka-2021," lithi ukuvela kwaleli gciwane kanye nenqubekelaphambili yokugoma, ukuhoxiswa kwezinqubomgomo ezesekayo zezimali nezezimali, i-geopolitics kanye nokungezwani kwezohwebo konke kungathinta ukululama okuvezwe esibikezelweni salo.
Emazweni athuthukile, “Ngemva kokuwohloka ngokukhululeka kwemisebenzi yezomnotho engxenyeni yesibili ka-2020, izimboni ngokuvamile zakhula ngokushesha engxenyeni yesithathu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yezinyathelo ezinkulu zokuvuselela isimo sezimali kanye nokudalulwa kwesidingo esiphansi,” kubhala i-Worldsteel.
Inhlangano iyaqaphela, nokho, ukuthi amazinga omsebenzi ahlala engaphansi kwezinga langaphambi kobhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yalokho, isidingo sensimbi somhlaba othuthukile siqophe ukwehla ngamaphesenti angu-12.7 ngo-2020.
Predicts Worldsteel, “Sizobona ukululama okukhulu ngo-2021 no-2022, nokukhula ngamaphesenti angu-8.2 namaphesenti angu-4.2, ngokulandelana.Kodwa-ke, isidingo sensimbi ngo-2022 sisazokweqa emazingeni ka-2019. "
uhulumeni useqale inqwaba yemiklamo emisha yokweseka umnotho, ukukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali kwingqalasizinda kulindeleke ukuthi kuqale ngo-2021 futhi kuqhubeke nokuba nomthelela ekudingeni kwensimbi ngo-2022.
Emkhakheni wokukhiqiza, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kuye kwalulama kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2020. Kuwo wonke u-2020, ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 kuphela.Eminye imikhakha yezokukhiqiza ikhombise ukukhula ngenxa yesidingo esinamandla sokuthumela ngaphandle.
Sekukonke eShayina, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi okusobala kukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angama-9.1 ngonyaka wezi-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuthi izindlela zokukhuthaza ezethulwe ngo-2020 zihlale zikhona ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukukhula komnotho okuqhubekayo.Ngenxa yalokhu, imikhakha eminingi edla insimbi izokhombisa ukukhula okusesilinganisweni kanti isidingo sensimbi saseChina kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule ngamaphesenti ama-3 ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kwesidingo sensimbi “kuzokwehla kube ngamaphesenti njengoba umphumela we-stimulus ka-2020 uncipha, futhi uhulumeni igxile ekukhuleni okuzinzile,” ngokusho kweWorldsteel.
ukukhula kanye nesidingo sensimbi saseChina kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule ngamaphesenti angu-3 ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kwesidingo sensimbi “kuzokwehla kube ngamaphesenti njengoba umphumela we-stimulus ka-2020 uncipha, futhi uhulumeni ugxile ekukhuleni okuzinzile,” ngokusho kweWorldsteel.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Sep-28-2021